Portfolio Climate Risk Management and Climate Stress Tests
Banks are increasingly having to prepare for the risks that climate change will bring. For central banks in particular, stress tests have become integral to predicting what the future holds for their assets. Modelling climate risks allows banks to drive understanding of current and future risk from extreme events. In this pathway, Tony Hughes will discuss the macroeconomic and microeconomic risk to bank safety from climate-related risk. Professor Robert Engles Ph.D. discusses how we can construct a climate hedge portfolio and use this portfolio to stress test banks.
Pathway
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6 videos • 1 hour
Introduction to Portfolio Climate Risk Mitigation
In this video collaboration with MMF, Nobel Laureate and economist Robert Engle introduces climate financial risks - from the biggest financial shocks we have seen historically to how we measure different risk factors when they arise simultaneously. Robert then explores how we can prepare for these different scenarios using four different investor goals, all of which account for climate change.
Robert Engle • 13:01
Asset Pricing Theory of Climate Hedge Portfolios
In this video collaboration with MMF, Nobel Laureate and economist Robert Engle explores the asset pricing theory behind hedge portfolios, as well as how you would build a portfolio using either fundamental or statistical analysis.
Robert Engle • 06:14
Constructing Climate Hedge Portfolios
In this video collaboration with MMF, Nobel Laureate and economist Robert Engle outlines how to construct a climate hedge portfolio using two strategies and explores why it's not that easy to hedge physical risks.
Robert Engle • 11:11
Climate Stress Scenarios and Stress Tests
In the final video collaboration with MMF, Nobel Laureate and economist Robert Engle discusses using climate portfolios to stress test banks and prepare for future damage.
Robert Engle • 11:26
Macro Learnings about Climate-related Credit Losses
In this video collaboration between the MMF, Grant Thornton and Finance and Sustainability Unlocked, Tony Hughes, expert risk modeller and data scientist outlines the impact of climate change on the financial system. Tony explores the risk that climate change poses to bank safety by comparing the evidence from the ECB and CBES around counterparty probabilities for default. Tony weighs up evidence at the macro-level for why climate change has so far not had a significant impact on the financial system.
Tony Hughes • 09:10
Micro Level Evaluation of Climate-related Credit Losses
In this video collaboration between the MMF, Grant Thornton, Finance and Sustainability Unlocked, Tony Hughes, expert risk modeller and data scientist outlines the link impact of climate change on the financial system. In the second video in his two-part series, Tony outlines why financial costs have been muted so far, pointing to the predictability of climate impact, that leads to closer preparedness from firms and investors.
Tony Hughes • 09:39
